Wednesday, February 27, 2008

Sports Blogger Draft Continued

On to the fourteenth round and beyond!

14th Round: Chad Billingsley, Dustin McGowan, Tim Hudson, B.J. Ryan, Aaron Roward, Dustin Pedroia, Ted Lilly, Khalil Greene, Jhonny Peralta, Placido Polanco Brad Penny, Chien-Ming Wang
  • Beyond Billingsley, I think the starting pitchers here were taken almost in reverse order. Wang isn't a brilliant pitcher but he has respectable peripherals and grabs you wins, just as Penny does to a lesser extent. Lilly and Hudson enjoyed surprisingly good seasons last year, but not as good as Wang and Penny, so I don't necessarily agree with their earlier selection. McGowan is one of those sleepers gone wild, where everyone is on him even if his real value is going later than he should.
15th Round: Brian Wilson, Aaron Hill, Ian Snell, Jeremy Bonderman, Adam Wainwright, Josh Fields, Jered Weaver, Oliver Perez, Kevin Gregg, Carlos Marmol, Jeff Francis, Eric Gagne
  • I was very happy to get Hill here as I waited as long as I could to grab a decent second basemen. Weaver and Bonderman could be real steals, while the closers here are all rather risky and interchangeable.
16th Round: Ken Griffey Jr., Rafael Betancourt, Dontrelle Willis, Tom Gorzelanny, Ryan Garko, Joba Chamberlain, Derek Lowe, Phil Hughes, Conor Jackson, Ivan Rodriguez, Evan Longoria, Raul Ibanez
  • Two notes: First, Conor Jackson and Ryan Garko falling ended any hope of my getting a first basemen. Secondly, the team who took Betancourt (albeit rounds too early) seemed to read my mind most of the draft, taking several players I hoped to get. He also had a great team name - SteakGrowsOnDmitri. As a side note, Dmitri Young went undrafted.
17th Round: Justin Upton, Kelvim Escobar, Ryan Theriot, Rich Harden, Kevin Kouzmanoff, Orlando Hudson, Troy Percival, Michael Cuddyer, Gil Meche, Jonathon Broxton, Jeff Kent, Todd Jones
  • Escobar was my steal of the draft - I think once he was so far up the draft board everyone forgot there are months after April. Jeff Kent and Cuddyer in this round I also loved.
18th Round: Adam LaRoche, J.D. Drew, Jose Guillen, Josh Willingham, Billy Butler, Stephen Drew, Nate McLouth, Kevin Youkilis, Joe Blanton, Joe Borowski, George Sherrill, C.J. Wilson
  • I didn't expect J.D. Drew to go here, so was a bit disappointed. Butler and McLouth were also great OF fillers and all draft types should watch for them come draft day. Sherrill is a bit underrated in my opinion, becoming a closer and coming off a great season.
19th Round: Lastings Milledge, Frank Thomas, Casey Kotchman, Jay Bruce, Heath Bell, Luke Scott, Bengie Molina, Jamie Walker, A.J. Pierzynski, Jason Varitek, Ty Wigginton, Ramon Hernandez
  • Got to praise Tim Dierkes from RotoAuthority for consecutive picks of McLouth and Luke Scott to fill an otherwise struggling outfield; failing to get either would have severly handicapped his team. Also, 19th round for 2B-eligible Wigginton? He deserves better.
20th Round: Randy Johnson, Brandon Lyon, Shaun Marcum, Ian Kennedy, Ryan Doumit, Matt Garza, Hank Blalock, Andy Pettitte, Mark Reynolds, Jason Kubel, Ronny Paulino, Cameron Maybin
  • Best Pick: Randy Johnson. Worst: Cameron Maybin. No one should be too proud nor ashamed, as it was the first and last pick of the round...

21st Round: Jason Giambi, Greg Maddux, Zack Greinke, Mark Buehrle, Melky Cabrera, Moises Alou, Kurt Suzuki, Jack Cust, Hiroki Kuroda, Gary Mathews Jr., Andre Ethier, Troy Glaus
  • Maddux over Greinke was hard for me, so I'll say Pete made me do it. I like Kuroda here, along with Melky. Good players that won't hurt your team.
22nd Round: Mike Cameron, Felix Pie, Bob Howry, Scott Rolen, Felipe Lopez, Rocco Baldelli, Bronson Arroyo, Freddy Sanchez, Wily Mo Pena, Jon Lester, Julio Lugo, Paul Lo Duca
  • Sanchez, Mo Pena, and Lester came off my queue in a row right before I took Lugo, so I wasn't happy. Still, Lugo's post-All Star numbers are something to feel consoled about.
23rd Round: Carlos Ruiz, Chris Duncan, Barry Zito, Chuck James, Joaquin Benoit, Kerry Wood, Colby Rasmus, Scott Baker, Mark Ellis, John Buck, Kevin Slower, Josh Bard

24th Round: Richie Sexson, Pat Neshek, Chris Carpenter, Rajai Davis, Mark Teahen, Casey Blake, Bill Hall, Mike Napoli, Jeremy Accardo, Manny Parra, Hideki Okajima, Wandy Rodriguez

25th Round: Tony Pena, Jon Garland, Asdrubal Cabrera, Lyle Overbay, Austin Kearns, Chad Qualls, Luis Castillo, Tom Gordon, Shawn Hill, Randy Wolf, Yunel Escobar, Jeremy Guthrie

26th Round: Garret Anderson, Dioner Navarro, Coco Crisp, Matt Guerrier, Dave Bush, Scot Shields, Rick Ankiel, Jayson Nix, Yadier Molina, Pedro Feliz, Akinori Iwamura, Jon Rauch

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4 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Just out of curiousity, under what system did either Wang or Penny have a better season than Hudson and Lilly? They both finished ahead of both of them on the player rater, and had better stats almost across the board (except for Wang's 19 wins). I'm not saying I disagree where they should go this but I just think you're wrong to say they weren't "as good".

February 28, 2008 10:23 AM  
Blogger Zachary Piso said...

Ted Lilly: 15 Wins, 3.83 ERA, 174 K, 1.14 WHIP
Hudson: 16 Wins, 3.33 ERA, 132 K, 1.22 WHIP

Brad Penny: 16 Wins, 3.03 ERA, 135 K, 1.31 WHIP
Chien-Ming Wang: 19 Wins, 3.70 ERA, 104 K, 1.29 WHIP

Yahoo! has Penny 129 last year, Lilly 156, Wang 158, and Hudson 161 in its O-Rank. However, you were right with the general player rater, though I think it takes into consider return on investment, so a player that costs less in terms of auction value or draft pick sees higher ranking.

I will concede that Lilly had a better season than I give him credit for-a lot of it has to do with me not trusting him heading into this season. But generally speaking, I value ERA and Wins because these categories seem to reflect higher swings in standings in the leagues I've been in.

February 28, 2008 12:31 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Interesting points, especially about valuing wins, since in my league last year that was crucial (with K's right behind). I actually think the O-Rank is their projected rankings for this year, and the regular Rank was how they finished last year (which is why I think Lilly/Hudson has the better seasons, technically). In any case they're all very close, I actually think I'd take Hudson or Wang first out of that group- though I could see Wang having a down year. Anyways keep up the good work, I read the blog daily.

February 28, 2008 3:06 PM  
Anonymous Eric said...

Wang was told he doesn't strike out enough hitters in his losing arbitration case. I gambled he would take that to heart and go for a few more Ks this year.

Another 25 or so, which would still have him at an embarassingly low number for a guy who consistently throws 94, should make him an even better value.

February 29, 2008 1:52 PM  

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