Wednesday, April 30, 2008

Buyers and Sellers: NL East

I realized that reviewing all of the AL teams would lead to a lot of "This team doesn't have a lot of holes while this team is, literally, one big hole", but in the NL, there isn't as much of a dichotomy. That is to say, the AL East goes by "It was the best of times, it was the worst of times", while the NL East goes by "It was, well, about time"--didn't expect a Dickens reference in a Fantasy Baseball editorial influenced by economics?

Florida (15-10): Now, I'm happy for Hendrickson's early season success, and I'm sure Andrew Miller will one day be a top-end starter, but there is no way the Marlins compete this year. Hermida and Willingham will likely stay, but I could see Gonzalez going to a contender as a fourth outfielder with veteran leadership. Also, Gregg will get shipped out as the most expensive player on the team, and likely end up in middle relief.
New York (13-11): The Mets didn't do much last season trade-wise (though I liked the Castillo acquisition), but they will probably try to grab some corner outfield help. The Pirates make sense as trade partners, with a Nady deal most likely, but the Pirates are so bad that they may move Bay for... Matt Morris (UPDATE: This is now more likely due to Morris's retirement). If Alou is healthy, a deal makes less sense, especially with Church performing.
Philadelphia (14-12): Philly will be competitive, but the Pedro Feliz signing at least distracts from the teams biggest offensive weakness. A backup catcher might help since Ruiz hasn't been great so far, but its the players who throw the ball that are the biggest weakness. I can't think of a likely pitcher, but I can't seem them mustering the price for Burnett.
Atlanta (12-13): I doubt the Braves will sell anyone even if they are pretty far out, but if so Teixeira seems the most likely. Their farm system was spent last year on the very same name, so if they are buyers it won't be anything major unless they send Lillibridge out since he's blocked by Escobar.
Washington (9-17): I believe the Nats will turn it around, but the division is too deep for them to make a difference now. Jon Rauch will have more value than Chad Cordero, but it will be the latter that they'll try to move for prospects. They have some depth at shortstop, and Felipe Lopez is probably worth moving if someone needs a middle infielder, and someone will.
So if you haven't noticed, this will likely take shape once we analyze more divisions. Next up, the AL Central

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