Tuesday, August 12, 2008

Trendspotting: Nick Markakis, Shane Victorino

So, yeah, I might own both of these guys in one of my leagues. Still, I think it's worth looking at the both of them, as both have five-category skill but aren't considered among the elite outfielders.

Nick Markakis: The Baltimore right fielder is a talented player and it would be great to see him in a better lineup. Still, even though the sample size has been small, he has a definite trend developing: Markakis is definitely a second-half player. His career OPS jumps 111 points after the All-Star Break, and he has six more home runs in nearly 100 fewer games. He and Brian Roberts have been getting hot at the same time, which has given him a few more RBI opportunities as well. Markakis is fast developing into one of those guys you don't really want to draft, but you definitely want to pick up during fantasy's June swoon.


Shane Victorino: For the Phillies outfielder, this has been a tale of two seasons. April OPS: 583; May OPS: 855; June OPS: 630; July OPS: 1000. He hit no homers in April and June but still has 11 on the season. His career numbers outline a similar pattern - April and June are bad months, with a good May squeezed in between. If his career patterns continue, you can expect a better August, followed by a mediocre September. He's shown a little more power than last year, and had he not missed some time to injury he would be a lock for 20/30. Victorino is only 28 and he should continue to develop - he may never go in the first rounds but he is quickly becoming a guy who is productive across the board. 

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2 Comments:

Anonymous Chris said...

The Orioles have quite a few problems, but who are these "better lineups" that you reference? One of the 7 teams that have scored more runs than the O's? Aubrey Huff has returned to his roots of being a force to be reckoned with. Luke Scott is having a career year and even Melvin Mora is making opposing teams pay for pitching around Markakis (myth!).

August 12, 2008 9:56 AM  
Blogger Pete Abbate said...

Well spoken, Chris - I admit to being completely surprised to find Baltimore's lineup OPS-ing better than division mates New York and Tampa Bay. He's not a lock for 100/100, though, and I feel like his talent level merits that type of performance. As you point out, though, with the performances of Huff, Mora and the rest, that's not a function of the guys around him.

August 12, 2008 11:38 AM  

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